TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:05 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while this market relies on individuals freely trading their opinions. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. These differences can be particularly noticeable in events where there's a lot of public information available or strong fan bases involved, like the Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes for the Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC match. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery, allowing for efficient information aggregation.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who hold shares in the correct exact score outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining the market’s result.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either the Orange County SC or Phoenix Rising FC could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the coaches, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or social media discussions, could cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust the market prices.