TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:04 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Orange County SC and Monterey Bay FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orange County SC" if Orange County SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Monterey Bay FC" if Monterey Bay FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Orange County SC and Monterey Bay FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orange County SC" if Orange County SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Monterey Bay FC" if Monterey Bay FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first in the Orange County SC vs. Monterey Bay FC match. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by identifying which team scores the first goal in the Orange County SC vs. Monterey Bay FC match. The official match records and reporting from recognized sports news sources will be used to verify the result. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Orange County SC or Monterey Bay FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could introduce new information and cause the market to reprice. Major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also contribute to movement in this market.