TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:04 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Monterey Bay FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Monterey Bay FC match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Monterey Bay FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Monterey Bay FC match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly assessing probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks—perhaps identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there’s a large volume of trading activity, as is the case with this market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Monterey Bay FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Orange County SC or Monterey Bay FC could significantly shift probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, especially if they are expected to be severe, could also impact the perceived likelihood of certain scores. Furthermore, any unexpected events during the match itself, such as red cards or early goals, will undoubtedly cause rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding situation.