TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Athletic Club
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Athletic Club?

Volume:
$418,717

Ferroviario

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 8:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ferroviario

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$184,832
N/A
N/A
$88,228
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Operário Ferroviário EC

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Athletic Club Sjdr

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,811
N/A
N/A
$66,935
Settled
No
polymarket

Athletic Club

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,139
N/A
N/A
$55,859
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Athletic Club)

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a soccer match between Operário Ferroviário EC and Athletic Club in the Brazilian Serie B league. Markets ask whether either team will win, or if the match will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this specification.Hero tip: Be aware that a cancellation could lead to a 'No' resolution on Polymarket, but the outcome is less certain on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours. Regular play + stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling; standard market closure rules would apply.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between Operário Ferroviário EC and Athletic Club.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Ferroviario vs Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Ferroviario, a win for Athletic Club Sjdr, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular playing time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Operário vs. Athletic match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $418,717, with $412,880 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, combining insights from diverse traders. The dashboard displays price feeds from each platform, providing a comparative analysis of market sentiment. By monitoring these prices, users can gain a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the match than relying on a single source.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set the market, prediction markets can dynamically adjust based on new information and changing perceptions, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Operário vs. Athletic match may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can influence price discovery; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads. Differences in fees and market-making incentives can also contribute to price discrepancies. These factors combine to create distinct market dynamics on each platform, even for the same underlying event.