TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Once Caldas and Alianza FC Valledupar in Colombia's top league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three markets resolving based on the result of the Once Caldas vs Alianza FC Valledupar professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific outcome: Once Caldas win, Alianza FC Valledupar win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets exclusively reflect the result within regular time, with no consideration for extended play formats.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Once Caldas vs Alianza FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Once Caldas vs Alianza FC match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process aims to converge the market price towards the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Once Caldas vs Alianza FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Once Caldas, a win for Alianza FC Valledupar, or a tie – is the correct one according to the official match results. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Once Caldas or Alianza FC Valledupar would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.