TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Olympique Lyonnais or OGC Nice, will score more goals in the second half of a Ligue 1 match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets specifically exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs, focusing solely on regulation second-half play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Olympique Lyonnais and OGC Nice, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais score more goals than OGC Nice in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Olympique Lyonnais and OGC Nice score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "OGC Nice" if OGC Nice score more goals than Olympique Lyonnais in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Olympique Lyonnais and OGC Nice, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais score more goals than OGC Nice in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Olympique Lyonnais and OGC Nice score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "OGC Nice" if OGC Nice score more goals than Olympique Lyonnais in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds often offer more favorable terms for those seeking a simple bet.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market may differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, influencing how quickly information is incorporated into prices. Polymarket currently favors Olympique Lyonnais to win the second half at approximately 97%, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. Differences in liquidity, trading volume, and the specific incentives offered on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to varied valuations.