TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP?

Volume:
$465,527

Olympiakós SFP

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 7:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Olympiakós SFP

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$308,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

OLY

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$13,167
$25,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olympique de Marseille

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

OLM

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$204
$12,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$56
$2,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Olympiakós SFP will win their UEFA Europa League match against Olympique de Marseille on October 15, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome is 100.0%, aggregating views from Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 15, 2026, to see if this outcome holds as the game progresses within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics and a defined fallback hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win/loss markets resolve 'No', and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.
  • Fallback sources are used if official data is unavailable within 24 hours: Flashscore, Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the scheduled match end if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between Olympique de Marseille and Olympiakós SFP.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between Olympique de Marseille and Olympiakós SFP.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting volume and ensure profitability, while prediction markets rely on the aggregated knowledge of individuals incentivized to forecast accurately. This can result in prediction markets reflecting a more nuanced understanding of probabilities, especially when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. However, both offer valuable insights, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage. The volume on this market is currently $465,527, indicating significant interest.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Marseille vs. Olympiakós match. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and available liquidity on each platform can influence pricing. While both platforms aim to forecast the same event, these differences contribute to potentially divergent probabilities.