TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Olympique de Marseille and Le Havre AC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille score more goals than Le Havre AC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Olympique de Marseille and Le Havre AC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Le Havre AC" if Le Havre AC score more goals than Olympique de Marseille in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Olympique de Marseille and Le Havre AC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille score more goals than Le Havre AC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Olympique de Marseille and Le Havre AC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Le Havre AC" if Le Havre AC score more goals than Olympique de Marseille in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors on Polymarket. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the prediction market odds will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes leading up to the event. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is a strong indicator of what traders believe will happen.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team – Olympique de Marseille or Le Havre AC – wins the second half of the match. Official match results from recognized sports authorities will be used to verify the winning team. Traders who correctly predicted the second half winner will receive a payout based on the final market odds at the time of resolution. The entire process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the odds for this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as a red card or an early goal, could dramatically shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to changes in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions on Polymarket.