TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Olympic and Utsiktens, focusing on who wins after the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market covers three possible results: a win for Olympic, a win for Utsiktens, or a tie. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, the market will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions.
The event determines the winner of the Olympic vs Utsiktens professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Olympic, a win for Utsiktens, or a tie. If the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price, reflecting the circumstances and probabilities at that time. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Swedish Superettan match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swedish Superettan match between Olympic and Utsiktens, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts settled in their favor shortly after the match concludes. The market will then be closed, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant shifts in public sentiment, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and cause prices to move, especially with lower volume. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Swedish Superettan match.