TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Ettan soccer match between Olympic and Trelleborgs scheduled for October 4, 2026. The market focuses on determining the winner after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. It provides a clear framework for resolving based on the match's result without considering post-regulation tiebreakers.
The event resolves based on the result of the Olympic vs Trelleborgs professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Olympic wins the match within regulation time, the 'Olympic' market resolves to Yes. If Trelleborgs wins within regulation time, the 'Trelleborgs' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard match duration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi can shift more rapidly than those at traditional sportsbooks. This is because the market incorporates new data almost instantly through the actions of many traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more liquid that market becomes, and the tighter the spread between the bid and ask prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating to reflect new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swedish Allsvenskan match between Olympic and Trelleborgs. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event and ensure you understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Olympic or Trelleborgs would likely cause price movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift the odds. Weather conditions on the day of the match could play a role, especially if they favor one team’s playing style. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the market.