TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Olympiacos and Sparta Prague. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Olympiacos versus Sparta Prague Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately based on the same underlying match result. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's line is inaccurate, they can move the price on Kalshi to reflect that view, potentially offering a better opportunity than available at a sportsbook. It's a fascinating comparison of different approaches to forecasting the same event.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. For example, if the match ends with 5 goals, contracts predicting 'over 4.5 goals' will settle positively, while those predicting 'under 4.5 goals' will settle negatively. The final result will be sourced from official match data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Olympiacos or Sparta Prague would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, which could affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, revealed through pre-match press conferences, could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price.