TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Olympiacos and Sparta Prague, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opposing team, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Olympiacos versus Sparta Prague Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the winning team's margin of victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Specifically, markets resolve to 'Yes' if Olympiacos wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All outcomes are determined solely by regular time scoring; Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls, but comparing them to sportsbook odds requires considering the different motivations and information sources influencing each.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This market offers a way to express your view on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, can influence trading activity and, consequently, the market prices. Monitoring these signals closely could provide insights into potential market movements before Oct 22, 2026.