TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Olimpija Ljubljana and NK Celje, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olimpija Ljubljana" if Olimpija Ljubljana are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Celje" if NK Celje are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Olimpija Ljubljana and NK Celje, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olimpija Ljubljana" if Olimpija Ljubljana are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Celje" if NK Celje are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the likelihood of either Olimpija Ljubljana or NK Celje scoring first, the odds on Polymarket will move accordingly. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions than those offered by traditional bookmakers, though discrepancies can still occur.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – either Olimpija Ljubljana or NK Celje scoring first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share fluctuates, reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success, while a lower price suggests a lower probability.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Olimpija Ljubljana vs. NK Celje match will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Olimpija Ljubljana or NK Celje would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the coaches, might lead to shifts in the probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to move this market.