TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
$
In the upcoming LNB game between Olimpico and Penarol, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Olimpico win, the market will resolve to "Olimpico". If the Penarol win, the market will resolve to "Penarol". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming LNB game between Olimpico and Penarol, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Olimpico win, the market will resolve to "Olimpico". If the Penarol win, the market will resolve to "Penarol". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome will happen, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a continuously updated forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Olimpico vs. Penarol match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Olimpico or Penarol could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Additionally, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news, could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.