TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelona
Volume:
$129,198
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Olimpia Milano and FC Barcelona scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on which team wins the match, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Milano win and Barcelona win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with clear mutual exclusivity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The logic error makes it impossible to determine a correct settlement. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version until Kalshi corrects its resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome structure: Milano win resolves to Olimpia Milano, Barcelona win resolves to Barcelona. Postponement keeps market open; total cancellation resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: Both Milano win and Barcelona win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an unresolvable tautology where no outcome can be distinguished. No fallback provisions for postponement or cancellation are specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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