TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring thresholds for both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, allowing participants to speculate on how high or low the scoring will be for each team.
The event consists of multiple markets, each evaluating whether a specific team scores above a designated point threshold in the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team exceeds its respective point threshold and 'No' otherwise. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final official score. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome based on the team's performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on power rankings and other factors, this market allows traders to adjust those expectations based on news, injuries, or even subtle shifts in public sentiment. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches, as the market digests new information and reacts to changing circumstances. These differences can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, though they aren’t guaranteed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different team total point values. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a consensus view. The market’s depth—the number of contracts available at each price point—indicates the level of confidence traders have in those outcomes. Volume is a key indicator of interest in specific point totals.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Ole Miss versus Vanderbilt game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores recorded by the governing body of college football, and will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual team totals exceeded or fell short of the contract values. The market will then settle, and winning contracts will be paid out to their holders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Ole Miss or Vanderbilt would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence expectations about scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal issues could also play a role in how traders adjust their predictions leading up to Oct 11, 2026.