TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Ole Miss and Vanderbilt. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either Ole Miss or Vanderbilt exclusively during the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the winning team must exceed the specified point margin threshold outlined in the market title during that quarter alone. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see shifts in this market as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official 3rd quarter spread of the Ole Miss versus Vanderbilt football game. The final score differential will be compared to the 7.5-point spread to determine whether contracts predicting Ole Miss winning by more than 7.5 points settle positively or negatively. All trading will cease once the official result is available and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Ole Miss or Vanderbilt could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, might also impact the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, public sentiment and betting trends observed in sportsbooks could influence trading activity on Kalshi, causing the market to react to broader perceptions of the game's likely outcome.