TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Ole Miss and Vanderbilt during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points); if the actual second-quarter total exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it resolves normally. If not started within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to nuanced information or late-breaking news that hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, the total points scored in the 2nd quarter being over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving beliefs of the crowd, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter of the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total points scored in the 2nd quarter meet the conditions defined by the winning contract, and to 0 for the losing contract.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Ole Miss or Vanderbilt would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring play, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in updated betting lines from sportsbooks, could influence activity in this market.