TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Ole Miss and Vanderbilt specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the actual second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or cancellation.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a diverse range of sources. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize public perception or attempt to balance their risk, whereas this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as public sentiment shifts regarding the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual second quarter spread will fall on that side. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders taking positions based on their own analysis and risk tolerance. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second quarter spread of the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who bet incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is automated based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ole Miss or Vanderbilt teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Even broader factors, such as overall public sentiment or large trading volume from informed participants, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.