TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for forecasting the game's early momentum.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points); if the actual combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points from the first quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the game's outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant information emerges or as the event approaches, as traders incorporate new data and adjust their positions accordingly. Comparing the two can offer a broader view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-quarter total score of the Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts predicting over or under a certain total pay out. Traders will be able to see the result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game’s first quarter concludes and the official score is released.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Ole Miss or Vanderbilt would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, reflected in updated betting percentages from sportsbooks, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the price of contracts in this market.