TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Texas. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including any overtime periods.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Ole Miss vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Texas scores first, Ole Miss scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. Often, prediction markets are seen as a 'wisdom of the crowd' approach, potentially providing more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event nears. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to divergences from this market’s pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Ole Miss or Texas will score the first touchdown. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe Ole Miss will score first, the price of those contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Ole Miss vs Texas game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Ole Miss or Texas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a specific team’s offensive style, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can quickly move the market in either direction.