TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Texas. It focuses solely on the performance during the last quarter of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends on the points scored by each team specifically in that timeframe.
If Texas wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of each team winning the 4th quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Ole Miss or Texas winning the 4th quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner. The goal is to find mispriced contracts and profit from correctly predicting the eventual outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 4th quarter of the Ole Miss vs Texas game will determine the outcome. The final score and official game results will be used to verify the winner. The platform will then settle the contracts based on which team ultimately prevailed in the 4th quarter, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Ole Miss or Texas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect the style of play, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Unexpected developments during the game itself will also drive rapid changes.