TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Texas. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Ole Miss vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market within the second quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point margin conditions outlined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that prediction market traders have information or insights that sportsbooks haven’t fully incorporated. It’s common to see the two converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of these contracts will adjust, ultimately reflecting the collective forecast for the Ole Miss vs Texas spread.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Ole Miss vs Texas football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the final spread and the price of the contract purchased.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ole Miss or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated betting trends, could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts representing the Ole Miss vs Texas spread. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives, will also have an immediate effect.