TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$104,324,478
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,604,169,862
483,380
Markets across
36,605
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,881
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Ole Miss versus Florida college football game. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0% that Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total 4th Down Conversions will be Over 0.5. Resolution will be based on data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the outcome will depend on each team’s offensive strategy and execution during that contest.
In the upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Florida, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Ole Miss vs Florida college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated predictions of informed traders. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges. Prediction markets are known for their accuracy, sometimes even exceeding sportsbook forecasts. However, sportsbooks generally offer a wider range of bet types than are currently available on this market. Both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and influenced by different participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Ole Miss or Florida would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, although to a lesser extent. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to shifts in volume and price.