TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Old Dominion and Georgia State. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on which team has more points when the first half concludes.
If Georgia St. wins the 1st half of the Old Dominion vs Georgia St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Old Dominion wins the 1st half of the Old Dominion vs Georgia St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Old Dominion vs Georgia St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by traders who buy and sell contracts based on their individual beliefs about the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or biases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price is determined by the interaction of these buy and sell orders, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential first-half winner.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the Old Dominion vs Georgia State game will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on the official score at halftime, as reported by the governing body of college basketball. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Old Dominion or Georgia State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could sway trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to shifts in the market, though the market itself aims to be an independent assessment.