TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Viktor Durasovic in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Viktor Durasovic. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Durasovic' if Viktor Durasovic advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Viktor Durasovic in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Viktor Durasovic. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Durasovic' if Viktor Durasovic advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions, can sometimes offer different probabilities than traditional betting sites, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market itself. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a broader perspective.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome of the Travaglia vs Durasovic match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving collective forecast. The higher the price of a share, the greater the implied probability of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Travaglia vs Durasovic match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares corresponding to the winning player will pay out. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market expectations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.