TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Travaglia vs Royer match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in sentiment.