TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Dominko and Daniel Masur in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Sebastian Dominko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Dominko and Daniel Masur in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Sebastian Dominko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each player winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, providing a dynamic reflection of collective expectations regarding the Dominko vs Masur match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dominko vs Masur match as determined by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, might also play a role. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.