TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Stefano Travaglia in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Stefano Travaglia. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Stefano Travaglia in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Stefano Travaglia. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced the Kasnikowski vs Travaglia match, we might see divergence. Generally, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is substantial trading volume and diverse participation. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison for understanding broader market expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Kasnikowski vs Travaglia match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on objective, verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market before the Kasnikowski vs Travaglia match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player fitness or strategic changes could lead to a reassessment of the probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the likely winner of this match. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.