TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s odds are driven by supply and demand among traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Kasnikowski vs Dzumhur match, and potentially identify value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kasnikowski vs Dzumhur match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price can fluctuate significantly based on news, player form, and overall betting activity, providing a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasnikowski vs Dzumhur match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades or shifts in overall market sentiment can create momentum and drive price fluctuations in the Kasnikowski vs Dzumhur match. Staying informed about these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.