TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Lorenzo Carboni in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Lorenzo Carboni. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Lorenzo Carboni in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Lorenzo Carboni. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Nardi vs Carboni match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in sentiment, and currently, the volume is $81,776.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nardi vs Carboni match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also trigger trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and observing the trading volume on Polymarket can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information.