TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Marco Dessi in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Marco Dessi. This market will resolve to 'Marco Dessi' if Marco Dessi advances against Laurent Lokoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Marco Dessi in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Marco Dessi. This market will resolve to 'Marco Dessi' if Marco Dessi advances against Laurent Lokoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Lokoli vs Dessi match, they can express that view through trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the prediction market odds to diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lokoli vs Dessi match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lokoli vs Dessi match as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly communicated on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Laurent Lokoli or Marco Dessi, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact trading activity. Updates on their training regimens or recent performance in other matches could also influence market sentiment. Furthermore, any changes in expert analysis or public opinion regarding their chances of winning the Lokoli vs Dessi match could lead to shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also contribute to market movement.