TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Georgii Kravchenko in Olbia will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Olbia: Completed Match: Laurent Lokoli vs Georgii Kravchenko”, with a 0.1% probability assigned to “Olbia: Laurent Lokoli vs Georgii Kravchenko”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour scores website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET, as this is when the initial signal for match completion will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Georgii Kravchenko in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Laurent Lokoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments among participants. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players or match conditions. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lokoli vs Kravchenko match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Georgii Kravchenko, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome of the Lokoli vs Kravchenko match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as court surface or weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could also contribute to price fluctuations leading up to the Oct 20, 2026 resolution of the Lokoli vs Kravchenko match.