TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Edas Butvilas in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Edas Butvilas. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Jan Kumstat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Edas Butvilas in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Edas Butvilas. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Jan Kumstat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the incentives of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations surrounding the Kumstat vs Butvilas match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kumstat vs Butvilas match, as determined by the governing body for the sport. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift market sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media discussions, might also play a role, especially if it deviates from initial expectations. Furthermore, major upsets in related events or shifts in broader sporting trends could indirectly impact the perceived probabilities and drive trading activity in this market.