TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which player will win Set 2 in the tennis match between Hynek Barton and Maxim Mrva at the Olbia tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Hynek Barton winning Set 2. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match schedule, as the market will resolve following the completion of Set 2, originally slated for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hynek Barton and Maxim Mrva in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hynek Barton' if Hynek Barton advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Hynek Barton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If a significant difference exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds can change until the market closes.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Olbia: Hynek Barton vs Maxim Mrva match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted sources of information. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution process before participating in this market, as the final outcome will determine the payout of their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements about the match schedule could all impact trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any updates on the players’ recent performance or strategic changes announced by their teams could move this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.