TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Daniel Masur in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Daniel Masur in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Kravchenko vs Masur match, and potentially identify value in either market. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kravchenko vs Masur match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Kravchenko vs Masur match, as officially recorded by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Kravchenko vs Masur match is played. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that may move this market.