TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Alexander Donski in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Alexander Donski. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Donski' if Alexander Donski advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Alexander Donski in the Olbia, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Alexander Donski. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Donski' if Alexander Donski advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective intelligence of individuals incentivized to predict the correct outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of each player winning, or that the prediction market has identified information not yet fully priced into traditional betting lines. It's a valuable comparison for anyone seeking a well-informed perspective.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kravchenko vs Donski match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven entirely by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kravchenko vs Donski match as reported by the governing sports body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements from either player’s camp could shift the probabilities. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the Kravchenko vs Donski match could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed speculation and trigger price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches.