TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Gonzalez/Molteni and Poonacha/Hernandez in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalez/Molteni' if the team of Gonzalez/Molteni advances against Poonacha/Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Poonacha/Hernandez' if the team of Poonacha/Hernandez advances against Gonzalez/Molteni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Gonzalez/Molteni and Poonacha/Hernandez in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalez/Molteni' if the team of Gonzalez/Molteni advances against Poonacha/Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Poonacha/Hernandez' if the team of Poonacha/Hernandez advances against Gonzalez/Molteni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about the likely winner, or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Gonzalez/Molteni winning the Olbia doubles match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the aggregated opinions of market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Olbia doubles match between Gonzalez/Molteni and Poonacha/Hernandez. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to payouts based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either team in other matches, might also impact the odds. Generally, any information that alters the perceived probability of Gonzalez/Molteni winning is likely to cause movement in this market, as traders adjust their positions accordingly.