TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by real money being wagered. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to unforeseen events or changes in player form, potentially offering more up-to-date probabilities than those found at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dougaz vs Dzumhur match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information impacts trader confidence. The current price reflects the market’s aggregate expectation of whether a specific outcome will occur.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dougaz vs Dzumhur match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The market will determine which player won the match, or if the match was not completed. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout and at what rate, based on the final price of the winning outcome’s shares at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in other matches could shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, training schedules, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role. Significant betting activity from informed traders, or even large-volume purchases, could also cause noticeable price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact the market.