TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, enabling a range of betting options from narrow to large point spreads.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi St. college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If Oklahoma wins by the exact point margin specified in a market's title, that market does not resolve as 'Yes'—it resolves as 'No.' For markets where Oklahoma wins by more than the stated margin, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Mississippi St. wins by more than the margin specified (e.g., 'Mississippi St. wins by over X points'), the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, which may involve settlement based on comparable games, odds, or other equitable methods determined by the platform.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular spread is more likely than implied by sportsbooks, the price will move accordingly. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The closer we get to the game, the more responsive the price will be to any breaking news or developments affecting the teams involved.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. It’s important to note that the resolution depends on the official result, and any adjustments or corrections made by the governing body of college football will be reflected in the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma or Mississippi State teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news related to team morale, coaching changes, or unexpected developments in team performance could move this market as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.