TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either Oklahoma, Mississippi State, or neither team scores the opening touchdown. The outcome depends purely on the game's start and the first scoring play, with specific rules for postponements and fair pricing if the game does not start on time.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: Mississippi State scoring first, Oklahoma scoring first, or neither team scoring a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows bettors to directly influence the price through supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a particular team is more likely to score first, the price for that outcome will decrease, potentially offering a better value than what’s available at a sportsbook. However, sportsbook odds often move more quickly in response to breaking news or injuries.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each team to score the first touchdown, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on the forces of supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of probabilities. The current price indicates the probability, as perceived by the market, of that team scoring first.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma or Mississippi State would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could shift perceptions of each team’s likelihood of scoring first. Finally, late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.