TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Mississippi State. It reflects a specific in-game performance metric rather than the overall game result. The outcome depends solely on third-quarter scoring dynamics.
If Mississippi St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma wins the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely third quarter winner.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will reflect which team is leading at the end of the third quarter of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State game. The final score at that point will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance during the first half of the game would likely have a significant impact, as would any major in-game events like turnovers or key plays. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.