TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Oklahoma or Mississippi State specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either Oklahoma or Mississippi State exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified point spread must be met or exceeded solely with points scored in the third quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The outcome depends strictly on third-quarter performance, with no consideration given to points scored in other quarters.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Often, you'll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely third-quarter spread between Oklahoma and Mississippi State.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Oklahoma or Mississippi State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in polls or analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.