TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Oklahoma will win its college football game against Mississippi State. Currently, the probability of Oklahoma winning on Kalshi is 88.0%, while Mississippi State winning is at 12.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Traders should watch the result of the game on October 23, 2026, to see which team secures victory and determines the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes if either Oklahoma or Mississippi State wins the game on October 23, 2026, as scheduled. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. Sportsbooks, while employing sophisticated models, are still subject to biases and limitations in their analysis. However, initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting varying initial assessments of the teams' chances. As the event approaches, the odds on this market often converge with those offered by sportsbooks, demonstrating the predictive power of the crowd.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or events. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their own assessment and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Oklahoma vs Mississippi State game, as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Oklahoma or Mississippi State would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or major upsets in other related games could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market often corrects for biases. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.