TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Iowa State will win their college football game against Oklahoma State by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 60.0% probability to Iowa State winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the Oklahoma St. vs Iowa St. game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, as defined by the final score. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the result of the fixture and is estimated to be settled by November 1, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Oklahoma St. vs Iowa St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If Oklahoma St. wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any 'Oklahoma St. wins by over X points' market, that market resolves to Yes; if Iowa St. wins by a margin exceeding the threshold in any 'Iowa St. wins by over X points' market, that market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, or if there’s strong public sentiment influencing one side. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final point spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Oklahoma St. vs Iowa St. football game. The market will settle to 100 if Oklahoma St. wins by more than the spread, and to 0 if Iowa St. wins by more than the spread, with a linear progression in between. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma St. or Iowa St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, can also affect the price. Finally, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could lead traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.