TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming college football game between Oklahoma State and Iowa State. Each market assesses different point spreads to determine which team will dominate the final quarter of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Oklahoma St. vs Iowa St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the fourth quarter by more than the stated point spread. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable, as prediction markets often incorporate a broader range of factors and adjust more quickly to changing circumstances than traditional betting venues. This can lead to more accurate probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Oklahoma State vs Iowa State game will determine whether contracts predicting Oklahoma State winning by more than 2.5 points will pay out $100, or whether those predicting otherwise will. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and official results are available. The outcome is based on the official game statistics.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma State or Iowa State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, as the game approaches, updates on team morale, practice reports, and even public sentiment can all contribute to price fluctuations. Major shifts in betting action within Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, will also impact the price of contracts in this market.