TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:52 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcomes depend solely on the game's first-quarter scoring, with specific rules for postponements and fair pricing if the game cannot start on time.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of the Oklahoma St. vs Iowa St. college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting volume, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the Oklahoma St. vs Iowa St. 1st quarter. Comparing the two can reveal insights into market discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between Oklahoma St. and Iowa St. will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the specified number. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma St. or Iowa St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Even public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, can play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a high-scoring or low-scoring first quarter could lead to shifts in trading activity and, consequently, price adjustments in this market.