TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Oklahoma State and Houston. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Oklahoma State vs. Houston college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Houston scores first, Oklahoma State scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – what participants believe will happen. As a result, the implied probabilities from Kalshi may differ from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' more accurately than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Houston or Oklahoma State will score the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Kalshi and is constantly updated based on new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Oklahoma State vs Houston game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or address any discrepancies following the official announcement of the game’s results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma State or Houston would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can move the market, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment.