TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Oklahoma State and Houston. It focuses solely on the performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of the game.
If Houston wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Oklahoma St. vs Houston college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Oklahoma St. vs Houston college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Oklahoma St. vs Houston college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the fourth quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning the fourth quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. Essentially, the market 'discovers' the probability through supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of an event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the fourth quarter of the Oklahoma State vs Houston game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the official results are available. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to this date to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma State or Houston teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions might sway trader sentiment on Kalshi. Finally, even large trading volume itself can cause price fluctuations, as traders react to each other's actions.