TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Houston will win its college football game against Oklahoma State. Currently, the probability of Houston winning on Kalshi is 78.0%, while Oklahoma State winning is at 23.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Oklahoma St. vs Houston game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 16, 2026, as the result of that contest will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the college football game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices offer a different perspective on the likelihood of various outcomes than those offered by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources or varying levels of confidence in specific teams.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe Oklahoma St. will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Oklahoma St. vs Houston game, as determined by official sources. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for all losing outcomes. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to this date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the game.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma St. or Houston would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game location, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the market’s probabilities.